X-Account-Key: account7 X-UIDL: 1271630247.10313.mail78,S=70800 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 10000000 X-Mozilla-Keys: Return-Path: Delivered-To: ron@1166093.1882787 Received: (qmail 10311 invoked by uid 78); 18 Apr 2010 22:37:27 -0000 Received: from unknown (HELO cloudmark1) (10.49.16.87) by 0 with SMTP; 18 Apr 2010 22:37:27 -0000 Return-Path: Received: from [66.163.168.132] ([66.163.168.132:32790] helo=n38a.bullet.mail.sp1.yahoo.com) by cm-mr12 (envelope-from ) (ecelerity 2.2.2.41 r(31179/31189)) with ESMTP id F0/9E-21491-6A98BCB4; Sun, 18 Apr 2010 18:37:27 -0400 DKIM-Signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=yahoogroups.com; s=lima; t=1271630246; bh=HfrOoJQHzd1pEWQx0g575+NPk9qiwcv2seDagoRypaY=; h=Received:Received:X-Yahoo-Newman-Id:X-Sender:X-Apparently-To:X-Received:X-Received:X-Received:X-Authority-Analysis:X-Cloudmark-Score:X-Received:To:Message-ID:X-Mailer:Thread-Index:Content-Language:X-Originating-IP:From:X-Yahoo-Profile:Sender:MIME-Version:Mailing-List:Delivered-To:List-Id:Precedence:List-Unsubscribe:Date:Subject:X-Yahoo-Newman-Property:Reply-To:Content-Type; b=ijLjOJhPlKr3CfCmibUtiq+k3+pdzIRcTttYV/3GMky4eoHsm6P/2NejdBtRpKVbabxjaBO9Sd1CHUVGPxT318f+tSYGQCciYqSWCve8/25B/C3aENzBDIn7dQClVdJs DomainKey-Signature: a=rsa-sha1; q=dns; c=nofws; s=lima; d=yahoogroups.com; b=clgH+J8MJNw6G9SbuMXQQpHc1uLLoWktJpucU1Z+wkFRV0VjI67Z2mlG/YHZf5P1VB63XdDnS7rl1xKV1UzJWkhSzTVDv0HNTzin2lWxBlQ+e4Y8TyklMN/Bi7mF4Lgg; Received: from [69.147.65.148] by n38.bullet.mail.sp1.yahoo.com with NNFMP; 18 Apr 2010 22:37:25 -0000 Received: from [98.137.34.38] by t11.bullet.mail.sp1.yahoo.com with NNFMP; 18 Apr 2010 22:37:25 -0000 X-Yahoo-Newman-Id: 12111071-m108909 X-Sender: gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com X-Apparently-To: metatrader_experts_and_indicators@yahoogroups.com X-Received: (qmail 49523 invoked from network); 18 Apr 2010 22:37:22 -0000 X-Received: from unknown (98.137.34.46) by m2.grp.sp2.yahoo.com with QMQP; 18 Apr 2010 22:37:22 -0000 X-Received: from unknown (HELO hrndva-omtalb.mail.rr.com) (71.74.56.122) by mta3.grp.sp2.yahoo.com with SMTP; 18 Apr 2010 22:37:22 -0000 X-Authority-Analysis: v=1.1 cv=ZUag8tkj9kgmNMrzofuoEsXxpG43g9sRv4eUZcQ4+as= c=1 sm=0 a=seHkrFv1Jo4A:10 a=nS+zSNEA4jtGT2g3su/Nkw==:17 a=MI-Bk1crD-8kyPWSv7oA:9 a=ZXtZCdiMYMcBwI6c_sgA:7 a=Swck8dkhdMcSwZhIRCp4Ndcnsx0A:4 a=CjuIK1q_8ugA:10 a=yMhMjlubAAAA:8 a=SSmOFEACAAAA:8 a=dy4E0l8PU4IX2ayzpjAA:9 a=7Wy9QQW3ffCT9Kl5NZ0A:7 a=ZoMv0dZdSYj8bu-8_1ALaJOuGCMA:4 a=tVs_q0BL_Xk7Mqkxx08A:9 a=oxypiiEcic4L-ypurfanWkJRfFMA:4 a=HXjIzolwW10A:10 a=7l-YsexWbaEPNcU1:18 a=nS+zSNEA4jtGT2g3su/Nkw==:117 X-Cloudmark-Score: 0 X-Received: from [70.125.42.184] ([70.125.42.184:3362] helo=nunswen0cecy73) by hrndva-oedge01.mail.rr.com (envelope-from ) (ecelerity 2.2.2.39 r()) with ESMTP id D9/0E-10149-E998BCB4; Sun, 18 Apr 2010 22:37:21 +0000 To: Message-ID: <000301cadf47$b58e3bb0$20aab310$@rr.com> X-Mailer: Microsoft Office Outlook 12.0 Thread-Index: AcrfR7PvhDpmVc9CSACyIlX9TDSlCw== Content-Language: en-us X-Originating-IP: 71.74.56.122 From: "Loren Morlan" X-Yahoo-Profile: lorenmorlan Sender: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com MIME-Version: 1.0 Mailing-List: list MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com; contact MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators-owner@yahoogroups.com Delivered-To: mailing list MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com List-Id: Precedence: bulk List-Unsubscribe: Date: Sun, 18 Apr 2010 18:37:19 -0400 Subject: [MT_E and I] GOLD, 4/18/10, DAILY, WILL PRICE TEST FIB 78.6 FOR ITS PROJECTED HIGH ? X-Yahoo-Newman-Property: groups-email-ff-m Reply-To: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com Content-Type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0004_01CADF26.2E7C9BB0" X-Antivirus: AVG for E-mail 9.0.801 [271.1.1/2818] ------=_NextPart_000_0004_01CADF26.2E7C9BB0 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_001_0005_01CADF26.2E7C9BB0" ------=_NextPart_001_0005_01CADF26.2E7C9BB0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Attached daily chart identifies two Elliott Wave cycles in this period and uses symmetry red line for projected high in this period. Commencing at the low 5 A priced traced the first 5 EWs to (a) 5 which serves as the measuring distance for the red symmetry line which is imposed on the chart at c (b) and extends to Fibonacci 78.6 @ 1187. >From 5 A to c (b) a full eight EW cycle is traced. Point c (b) starts a new EW cycle which has thus far traced the high of Wave 3 and is now tracing the yet unknown low of corrective Wave 4. Retracement thus far from c (b) to 3 is between 38.2 and 61.8. Price frequently follows symmetrical patterns and if this occurs going forward price may test Fib. 78.6 incident to completion of Waves 5 (c) B. Wave 3 found resistance at Fib. 141.4 and the issue remains as to whether or not this level will serve as the ultimate high of Wave B. If this occurs then Wave 5 in the most recent EW cycle will be truncated. Incomplete or truncated EW cycles in shorter time frames occur because a long term EW cycle prevents its normal completion. As mentioned in early posted charts, monthly EW cycle shows price is near the high of Wave B the high of which will be first observed in the daily or 4 hour period. Comments; If price behaves consistent with the previous symmetrical move mentioned above then price should test Fib. 78.6 for the ultimate high of Waves 5 (c) B. Six of the eight waves 3, 4, 5, a, b and c in the first complete EW cycle were all identified by fractals. Waves 2 and 3 in the most recent cycle have fractals for their low and high. The first EW cycle traces an upright head and shoulder pattern with a RSI CND between Wave 3 (LS) and b (RS). Neck line between 4 and a. Wave 3 is always the left shoulder, 5 the head and b the right shoulder. Often but not always there is a CND between the two shoulders. The majority of price action since the low at 5 A has traced below the center (standard deviation) blue line which argues loss of momentum. Fractal highs at or near the center line has resulted in price repelling downward away from this line. Successful trades are dependent on an accurate understanding of price location in the relevant EW cycle. Any market advisor who is unable to advise their audience of where price is located in the EW cycle either do not know or are refusing to share that important information. In either case unacceptable. Preferred/lower risk trading waves are 3, 5, A and C. Some trading vehicle is always in or beginning one of those waves. Loren ------=_NextPart_001_0005_01CADF26.2E7C9BB0 Content-Type: text/html; charset=US-ASCII Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit  

Attached daily chart identifies two Elliott Wave cycles in this period and uses symmetry red line for projected high in this period.

 

Commencing at the low 5 A priced traced the first 5 EWs to  (a) 5 which serves as the measuring distance for the red symmetry line which is imposed on the chart  at c (b) and extends to Fibonacci 78.6 @ 1187.

 

From 5 A to c (b) a full eight EW cycle is traced.   Point c (b) starts a new EW cycle which has thus far traced the high of Wave 3 and is now tracing the yet unknown low of corrective Wave 4.  Retracement thus far from c (b) to 3 is between 38.2 and 61.8. 

 

Price frequently follows symmetrical patterns and if this occurs going forward price may test Fib. 78.6 incident to completion of Waves 5 (c) B. 

 

Wave 3 found resistance at Fib. 141.4 and the issue remains as to whether or not this level will serve as the ultimate high of  Wave B.  If this occurs then Wave 5 in the most recent EW cycle will be truncated.  Incomplete or truncated EW cycles in shorter time frames occur because a long term EW cycle prevents its normal completion.   As mentioned in early posted charts, monthly EW cycle shows price is near the high of Wave B the high of which will be first observed in the daily or 4 hour period. 

 

Comments;

If price behaves consistent with the previous symmetrical move mentioned above then price should test Fib. 78.6 for the ultimate high of Waves 5 (c) B. 

 

Six of the eight waves 3, 4, 5, a, b and c in the first complete EW cycle were all identified by fractals.  Waves 2 and 3 in the most recent cycle have fractals for their low and high.

 

The first EW cycle traces an upright head and shoulder pattern with a RSI CND between Wave 3 (LS) and b (RS).  Neck line between 4 and a.   Wave 3 is always the left shoulder, 5 the head and b the right shoulder. Often but not always there is a CND between the two shoulders.

 

The majority of price action since the low at 5 A  has traced below the center (standard deviation) blue line which argues loss of momentum.  Fractal highs at or near the center line has resulted in price repelling downward away from this line.

 

Successful trades are dependent on an accurate understanding of price location in the relevant EW cycle.   Any market advisor who is unable to advise their audience of where price is located in the EW cycle either do not know or are refusing to share that important information.  In either case unacceptable.

 

Preferred/lower risk trading waves are 3, 5, A and C.   Some trading vehicle is always in or beginning one of those waves.

 

Loren

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