X-Account-Key: account7 X-UIDL: 1273727543.21544.mail42,S=83894 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 10000000 X-Mozilla-Keys: Return-Path: Delivered-To: ron@1166093.1882787 Received: (qmail 21540 invoked by uid 78); 13 May 2010 05:12:23 -0000 Received: from unknown (HELO cloudmark1) (10.49.16.78) by 0 with SMTP; 13 May 2010 05:12:23 -0000 Return-Path: Received: from [66.163.168.138] ([66.163.168.138:32312] helo=n44a.bullet.mail.sp1.yahoo.com) by cm-mr4 (envelope-from ) (ecelerity 2.2.2.41 r(31179/31189)) with ESMTP id 32/A2-23399-53A8BEB4; Thu, 13 May 2010 01:12:22 -0400 DKIM-Signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=yahoogroups.com; s=lima; t=1273727541; bh=KKvRc99lOVODhcKuejhusH/yAjAS9X8/E2+et7KNaSw=; h=Received:Received:X-Yahoo-Newman-Id:X-Sender:X-Apparently-To:X-Received:X-Received:X-Received:X-Authority-Analysis:X-Cloudmark-Score:X-Received:To:Message-ID:X-Mailer:Thread-Index:Content-Language:X-Originating-IP:From:X-Yahoo-Profile:Sender:MIME-Version:Mailing-List:Delivered-To:List-Id:Precedence:List-Unsubscribe:Date:Subject:X-Yahoo-Newman-Property:Reply-To:Content-Type; b=rfVYBTUSRZdOdpybWwSXd2H1L11Di7GhdvteNbvMTRFN/0CpJ/6N+TWvWeo82qNjZK7IPAiXvZOE8WJIypYoQ82f3z8e/uAc3DbTXhpF/GkFPnoiA8M0CHyXY1tsHrVB DomainKey-Signature: a=rsa-sha1; q=dns; c=nofws; s=lima; d=yahoogroups.com; b=VrEp5vf5MHlvXap9Ip8eBOgguNc8db6A665hiV1Oro1+vUimld/uyi8mMVnIyehaObZMlFFI/2JimvWnImEFNfFZivGteDGRSi+p6vUZSCydB3cMnJshv4uMl/IX+KLJ; Received: from [69.147.65.171] by n44.bullet.mail.sp1.yahoo.com with NNFMP; 13 May 2010 05:12:21 -0000 Received: from [98.137.34.40] by t13.bullet.mail.sp1.yahoo.com with NNFMP; 13 May 2010 05:12:20 -0000 X-Yahoo-Newman-Id: 12111071-m109716 X-Sender: gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com X-Apparently-To: metatrader_experts_and_indicators@yahoogroups.com X-Received: (qmail 82633 invoked from network); 13 May 2010 05:12:16 -0000 X-Received: from unknown (98.137.34.45) by m4.grp.sp2.yahoo.com with QMQP; 13 May 2010 05:12:16 -0000 X-Received: from unknown (HELO hrndva-omtalb.mail.rr.com) (71.74.56.123) by mta2.grp.sp2.yahoo.com with SMTP; 13 May 2010 05:12:16 -0000 X-Authority-Analysis: v=1.1 cv=RZg5C6NCKrCZril9sGGnsuGk01/OiP2z3O3lo0hXATg= c=1 sm=0 a=zNANCjgXmV0A:10 a=nS+zSNEA4jtGT2g3su/Nkw==:17 a=ZKWnXCL7hS9UWthrFIYA:9 a=NUFRm8cvRGFIL_l1ycwA:7 a=tq5M26AqtEKpC_RnWfPd6rZN3T8A:4 a=CjuIK1q_8ugA:10 a=yMhMjlubAAAA:8 a=SSmOFEACAAAA:8 a=q-1H1WAbDF4KJxfBQOsA:9 a=16KH_H2WFD71ox2F7okA:7 a=jCe1QvTn0JbBx6b8vtE4LMCh2HcA:4 a=zSD-uFL4vgWz8ZBKa0AA:9 a=vv2oPX7LfQhHQUN7qKzGLXntH14A:4 a=HXjIzolwW10A:10 a=R9GilTidMcWxGuBj:18 a=nS+zSNEA4jtGT2g3su/Nkw==:117 X-Cloudmark-Score: 0 X-Received: from [70.125.42.184] ([70.125.42.184:4140] helo=nunswen0cecy73) by hrndva-oedge04.mail.rr.com (envelope-from ) (ecelerity 2.2.2.39 r()) with ESMTP id 34/B3-12058-D2A8BEB4; Thu, 13 May 2010 05:12:15 +0000 To: Message-ID: <000001caf25a$daf072d0$90d15870$@rr.com> X-Mailer: Microsoft Office Outlook 12.0 Thread-Index: AcryWtnQvyAE7iZ7RVOBOhziGKJMvQ== Content-Language: en-us X-Originating-IP: 71.74.56.123 From: "Loren Morlan" X-Yahoo-Profile: lorenmorlan Sender: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com MIME-Version: 1.0 Mailing-List: list MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com; contact MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators-owner@yahoogroups.com Delivered-To: mailing list MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com List-Id: Precedence: bulk List-Unsubscribe: Date: Thu, 13 May 2010 01:12:15 -0400 Subject: [MT_E and I] EUR/USD, 5/12/10, DAILY X-Yahoo-Newman-Property: groups-email-ff-m Reply-To: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com Content-Type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0001_01CAF239.53DED2D0" X-Antivirus: AVG for E-mail 9.0.819 [271.1.1/2870] ------=_NextPart_000_0001_01CAF239.53DED2D0 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_001_0002_01CAF239.53DED2D0" ------=_NextPart_001_0002_01CAF239.53DED2D0 Content-Type: text/html; charset=US-ASCII Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit  

Consideration of earlier weekly and monthly periods argue that price is currently searching for the low of EW 5/b. The attached daily chart may provide some clarification of this issue. The low of Wave 5/b will introduce a change of trend, which change requires objective evidence. Low price fractal at b/5 on 5/6/10, tested Fib. retracement 361.8 and 100.0. The next higher low fractal is the high of the lower blue trend line. The upper trend line in blue follows two high fractals. The lower trend line rate of declination is greater than the upper trend line and objectively shows an imbalance between buyers and sellers during the period. Sellers have been more aggressive than buyers. This trend line disparity is a classic warning that a trend change may occur. This an important consideration at this time since the low of 5/b has not been clearly established. Two Fib retracement studies are considered, blue longer term, green shorter. The longer study traces the 361.8 level. The second in green traces the 85.4 level which has most recently acted as support for price. There has been no higher fractal lows formed subsequent to 5/b. The present issue is whether 85.4 level will served as current support, if so then there is some additional evidence that the prior low near 361.8 may ultimately be established as 5/b low. If 85.4 does not provide support next lower support at 127.2 and 423.6 or lower to 141.4. Comment; A long condition is shown with s/l below 85.4, (risk reward greater than 5 to 1)based on the anticipated testing of the upper trend line. This is a higher risk trade but with a relative low s/l level. Two points in each trend line which price often respects. As the trend matures the lines may also move/change consistent with those newer fractals. Fractals often provide anchor points for trend line placement. They are objective and accurately identify highs and lows. Frequently the low of a retracement will be 78.6 however sometimes price will fall to 85.4 which has happened presently. If the 85.4 level does not provide support price should move to 127.2 or lower. I am suspicious of a low for 5/b at 361.8. Price may well move to a lower Fib. level later. Nevertheless price does not generally move straight down and often will retrace to an upper line. There have been no CPD traced by RSI incident to a trend change. The search for a trend low or high may have numerous possible support or resistance levels. 85.4 and 361.8 earlier has traced one of those levels incident to this trade. There are some traders who do successfully enter near the bottom or top of a trend. It is not a matter of luck. The current long trade is an effort to enter near, at what may be shown in time to be the low of 5/b. Loren

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Consideration of earlier weekly and monthly periods argue that price is currently searching for the low of EW 5/b.  The attached daily chart may provide some clarification of this issue.

 

The low of Wave 5/b will introduce a change of trend, which  change requires objective evidence.  Low price fractal at b/5 on 5/6/10, tested Fib. retracement 361.8 and 100.0.   The next higher low fractal  is the high of the lower blue trend line.  The upper trend line in blue follows two high fractals.  The lower trend line rate of declination is greater than the upper trend line and objectively shows an imbalance between buyers and sellers during the period.  Sellers have been more aggressive than buyers.  This trend line disparity is a classic warning that a trend change may occur.  This an important consideration at this time since the low of 5/b has not been clearly established.

 

Two Fib retracement studies are considered, blue longer term, green shorter.  The longer study traces the 361.8 level.   The second in green traces the 85.4 level which has most recently acted as support for price.  There has been no higher fractal lows formed subsequent to 5/b.  The present issue is whether 85.4 level will served as current support, if so then there is some additional evidence that the prior low near 361.8 may ultimately be established as 5/b low.

 

If 85.4 does not provide support next lower support at 127.2 and 423.6 or lower to 141.4.

 

Comment;

A long condition is shown with s/l below 85.4, (risk reward greater than 5 to 1)based on the anticipated testing of the upper trend line.  This is a higher risk trade but with a relative low s/l level. 

 

Two points in each trend line which price often respects.  As the trend matures the lines may also move/change consistent with those newer fractals.  Fractals often provide anchor points for trend line placement.  They are objective and accurately identify highs and lows.

 

Frequently the low of a retracement will be 78.6 however sometimes price will fall to 85.4 which has happened presently.  If the 85.4 level does not provide support price should move to 127.2 or lower.

 

I am suspicious of a low for 5/b at 361.8.  Price may well move to a lower Fib. level later.  Nevertheless price does not generally move straight down and often will retrace to an upper line.  There have been no CPD traced by RSI incident to a trend change.

 

The search for a trend low or high may have numerous possible support or resistance levels.  85.4 and 361.8 earlier has traced one of those levels incident to this trade. There are some traders who do successfully enter near the bottom or top of a trend.  It is not a matter of luck.  The current long trade is an effort to enter near, at what may be shown in time to be the low of 5/b.

 

Loren

 

 

 

 

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